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theodore M I R A L D I mpa ... editor, publisher, writer
Wednesday, April 24, 2013
Immigration bill offers Dems 'permanent majority'
Analysis confirms Obama adviser's prediction of electoral bonanza Aaron Klein
A Politico.com analysis concluding that the immigration-reform bill pending in Congress would produce an electoral bonanza for Democrats fulfills the declaration of President Obama’s Latino community adviser that immigration reform would help ensure a “progressive” governing coalition for the long term.
Tuesday, Politico published an extensive piece documenting how the immigration proposal pending in Congress would “transform the nation’s political landscape for a generation or more.” An estimated 11 million new Hispanic voters would cripple Republican prospects in many states the party now wins easily, handing those and other states easily to the Democrats, the report said.
WND was first to report the trend was noted in 2010 by Eliseo Medina, secretary-treasurer of the Service Employees International Union, or SEIU. During the 2008 presidential campaign, Medina served on Obama’s National Latino Advisory Council.
“We reform the immigration laws, it puts 12 million people on the path to citizenship and eventually voters,” stated Medina, speaking at a June 2009 Washington conference for the liberal group America’s Future Now!
Medina said that in the 2008 presidential election, Latinos and immigrants “voted overwhelmingly for progressive candidates. Barack Obama got two out of every three voters that showed up.”
“Can you imagine if we have, even the same ratio, two out of three? Can you imagine 8 million new voters who care about our issues and will be voting? We will be creating a governing coalition for the long term, not just for an election cycle.”
Politico’s new analysis of the effects of amnesty on future voting trends utilized the U.S. Census and Pew Research Center estimates of illegal alien populations by state and presidential exit polls showing how Obama and Mitt Romney performed among Latinos.
Illegal aliens would get voting rights in 13 years under the current bill. Politico found that if those illegals had been on the voting rolls in 2012 and voted as other Hispanic voters did last fall, Obama’s relatively narrow victory in 2012 would have been considerably wider.
Reported Politico: “Key swing states that Obama fought tooth and nail to win – like Florida, Colorado and Nevada – would have been comfortably in his column. And the president would have come very close to winning Arizona.
“Republican Mitt Romney, by contrast, would have lost the national popular vote by 7 percentage points, 53 percent to 46 percent, instead of the 4-point margin he lost by in 2012, and would have struggled even to stay competitive in GOP strongholds like Texas, which he won with 57 percent of the vote.”