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theodore M I R A L D I mpa ... editor, publisher, writer
Monday, September 19, 2016
Polls: Trump 'ONE STATE From Presidency'
Clinton thought she had Iowa, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina in bag
Donald Trump is just one state away from winning the presidency, according to the latest opinion polls.
The Republican nominee is ahead in four battleground states won by Obama in 2012, Iowa, Ohio, Florida and North Carolina.
The Washington Post reported Monday the Clinton campaign is now “pessimistic” about winning Iowa and Ohio, and they believe Florida and North Carolina will be close, Shapiro noted.
Shapiro pointed out that while Clinton maintains a strong lead in Pennsylvania – 6.6 points according to the RealClearPolitics average – there are other battleground states trending in Trump’s favor that would put him over the top.
In Colorado, an Emerson poll now has Trump up 4 percentage points just three weeks after the Clinton campaign thought it had the state wrapped up. With all else remaining the same, Colorado’s nine Electoral College votes would put Trump over the top.
Trump is down just three points in Wisconsin, a state Republicans have not won since 1984.
Three recent polls in Virginia show the race is within three points. A New Hampshire poll taken before Hillary collapsed after attending the 9/11 memorial in New York City showed her up by only 2 points.
In New Hampshire, an NBC poll from just before the 9/11 health scare had her up just two points.
In Michigan., Clinton’s lead of between 5 and 7 points has shrunk to 3.
Meanwhile, as Trump increases his lead overall, he is continuing to improve among black voters, Breitbart reported.
The Los Angeles Times daily tracker had him in low single digits among black voters before his visit to a black church in Flint, Michigan, last Wednesday. But he is now up to 20.1 percent.
The Times poll, which consistently has shown Trump with a larger lead than other polls, experiments with allowing voters to give their honest opinions anonymously.
The Millennials who helped carry President Barack Obama to victory over Mitt Romney four years ago are not as excited about Hillary Clinton, acccording to a new Qunnipiac poll that shows third party candidates Gary Johnson of the Libertarian Party and Jill Stein of the Green Party with a combined 44 percent of support from voters from 18 to 34 years old.